• Luigi Yuri Di Marco, Daniel Raine, John P Bourke, and Philip Langley.
• Institute of Cellular Medicine, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK. l.dimarco@sheffield.ac.uk
• Heart Rhythm. 2013 Sep 1; 10 (9): 1303-10.

BackgroundSuccessful termination of atrial fibrillation (AF) during catheter ablation (CA) is associated with arrhythmia-free follow-up. Preablation factors such as mean atrial fibrillation cycle length (AFCL) predict the likelihood of AF termination during ablation but recurring patterns and AFCL stability have not been evaluated.ObjectiveTo investigate novel predictors of acute and postoperative ablation outcomes from intracardiac electrograms: (1) recurring AFCL patterns and (2) localization index (LI) of the instantaneous fibrillatory rate distribution.MethodsSixty-two patients with AF (32 paroxysmal AF; 45 men; age 57 ± 10 years) referred for CA were enrolled. One-minute electrogram was recorded from coronary sinus (CS; 5 bipoles) and right atrial appendage (HRA; 2 bipoles). Atrial activations were detected automatically to derive the AFCL and instantaneous fibrillatory rate (inverse of AFCL) time series. Recurring AFCL patterns were quantified by using recurrence plot indices (RPIs): percentage determinism, entropy of determinism, and maximum diagonal length. AFCL stability was determined by using the LI. The CA outcome predictivity of individual indices was assessed.ResultsPatients with terminated atrial fibrillation (T-AF) had higher RPI (P < .05 in CS7-8) and LI than did those with nonterminated atrial fibrillation (P < .005 in CS3-4; P < .05 in CS5-6, CS7-8, and HRA). Patients free of arrhythmia after 3-month follow-up had higher RPI and LI (all P < .05 in CS7-8). All indices except percentage determinism predicted T-AF in CS7-8 (area under the curve [AUC] ≥ 0.71; odds ratio [OR] ≥ 4.50; P < .05). The median AFCL and LI predicted T-AF in HRAD (AUC ≥ 0.75; OR ≥ 7.76; P < .05). The RPI and LI predicted 3-month follow-up in CS7-8 (AUC ≥ 0.68; OR ≥ 4.17; P < .05).ConclusionsAFCL recurrence and stability indices could be used in selecting patients more likely to benefit from CA.Copyright © 2013 Heart Rhythm Society. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

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