• R Nixon, N Bansback, and A Brennan.
• MRC Biostatistics Unit, Institute of Public Health, University Forvie Site, Robinson Way, Cambridge CB2 2SR, UK. richard.nixon@mrc-bsu.cam.ac.uk
• Rheumatology (Oxford). 2007 Jul 1;46(7):1140-7.

ObjectiveNew treatments that inhibit the cytokines tumour necrosis factor alpha (TNFalpha) and interleukin 1 (IL-1) in the treatment of rheumatoid arthritis have proven clinical effect against placebo and methotrexate (MTX) in several clinical trials in early and late-stage disease and different severity groups. Since there are no head-to-head randomized controlled trials directly comparing the currently available treatments, etanercept, adalimumab, infliximab or anakinra, we perform a meta-analysis that adjusts for differences between study characteristics, and allows indirect comparisons between treatments.MethodsThirteen trials of cytokine antagonists were included from a systematic review of the literature. They reported the primary outcome of American College of Rheumatology (ACR) response criteria at 6 months or beyond. Meta-analytical methods are used to quantify relative treatment effects, using the log odds ratio of an ACR20 or ACR50 response at 6 months, whilst adjusting for study-level variables.ResultsIn each of the trials, cytokine treatment was efficacious in comparison with placebo or MTX. For each treatment, the inclusion of MTX in combination improved the response. After adjustment for study-level variables, we found TNFalpha antagonists to be more efficacious compared with anakinra (P < 0.05). Indirect comparisons between the three TNFalpha antagonists indicated no difference in efficacy. Sensitivity analysis using a different statistical model structure confirmed these results.ConclusionWhen the outcome of interest is the probability of an ACR20 or ACR50 response at 6 months we found: (i) treatment with the IL-1 antagonist anakinra is better than placebo; (ii) for each treatment, the use of combination MTX improves the probability of response; (iii) treatment with any of the TNFalpha antagonists is better than with the IL-1 antagonist anakinra; and (iv) all drugs in the TNFalpha antagonist class are no different from each other.

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