International journal of cancer. Journal international du cancer
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Molecular prognostic indicators for oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC), including HPV-DNA detection, epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) and p16 expression, have been suggested in the literature, but none of these are currently used in clinical practice. To compare these predictors, 106 newly diagnosed OSCC for the presence of HPV-DNA and expression of p16 and EGFR were analyzed. The 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were calculated in relation to these markers and a multivariate Cox analysis was performed. ⋯ In multivariate analysis p16 remained a highly significant prognostic marker for DFS (p = 0.030) showing a 7.5-fold increased risk for relapse in patients with p16-negative tumors. Our data indicate that p16 expression is the most reliable prognostic marker for OSCC and further might be a surrogate marker for HPV-positive OSCC. HPV+/p16+ tumors tended to have decreased EGFR expression, but using both immunohistological markers has significant prognostic implications.