Medical journal, Armed Forces India
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Med J Armed Forces India · Apr 2020
Healthcare impact of COVID-19 epidemic in India: A stochastic mathematical model.
In India, the SARS-CoV-2 COVID-19 epidemic has grown to 1251 cases and 32 deaths as on 30 Mar 2020. The healthcare impact of the epidemic in India was studied using a stochastic mathematical model. ⋯ At the current growth rate of epidemic, India's healthcare resources will be overwhelmed by the end of May. With the immediate institution of NPIs, total cases, hospitalizations, ICU requirements, and deaths can be reduced by almost 90%.