Journal of biomedical informatics

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• J Biomed Inform · Oct 2015

  A comparison of multivariate and univariate time series approaches to modelling and forecasting emergency department demand in Western Australia.

  To develop multivariate vector-ARMA (VARMA) forecast models for predicting emergency department (ED) demand in Western Australia (WA) and compare them to the benchmark univariate autoregressive moving average (ARMA) and Winters' models. ⋯ VARMA models are a reliable forecasting method to predict ED demand for strategic planning and resource allocation. While the ARMA models are a closely competing alternative, they under-estimated future ED demand.

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