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J. Gastroenterol. Hepatol. · Jan 2016
Multicenter Study Comparative StudyComparison of scoring systems for nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding: a multicenter prospective cohort study.
- Hae Min Yang, Seong Woo Jeon, Jin Tae Jung, Dong Wook Lee, Chang Yoon Ha, Kyung Sik Park, Si Hyung Lee, Chang Heon Yang, Jun Hyung Park, Youn Sun Park, and Daegu-Gyeongbuk Gastrointestinal Study Group (DGSG).
- Department of Internal Medicine, Kyungpook National University Hospital/ School of Medicine.
- J. Gastroenterol. Hepatol. 2016 Jan 1; 31 (1): 119-25.
Background And AimThe Glasgow-Blatchford score (GBS) and Rockall score (RS) are widely used to assess risk in patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB). We compared both scoring systems and evaluated their clinical usefulness.MethodsBetween February 2011 and December 2013, 1584 patients with nonvariceal UGIB were included in the study. A prospective study was conducted to compare the performance of the GBS, pre-RS, and full RS. We compared the performance of these scores using receiver operating characteristic curves.ResultsFor prediction of the need for hospital-based intervention, the GBS was similar to the full RS (area under the receiver operating characteristic curves [AUROC] 0.705 vs 0.727; P = 0.282) and superior to the pre-RS (AUROC 0.705 vs 0.601; P < 0.0001). In predicting death, the full RS was superior to the GBS (AUROC 0.758 vs 0.644; P = 0.0006) and similar to the pre-RS (AUROC 0.758 vs 0.754; P = 0.869). In predicting rebleeding, the full RS was superior to both GBS (AUROC 0.642 vs 0.585; P = 0.031) and pre-RS (AUROC 0.642 vs 0.593; P = 0.0003). Of 1584 patients, 13 (0.8%) scored 0 on the GBS. Therapeutic intervention was not performed in any of these patients.ConclusionsThe GBS is more useful than the pre-RS for predicting the need for hospital-based intervention. A cutoff value of 0 for low-risk patients who might be suitable for outpatient management is useful. The full RS is helpful in predicting death. None of the systems accurately predict rebleeding with a low AUROC. (Clinical Trialcris.nih.go.kr/KCT0000514).© 2015 Journal of Gastroenterology and Hepatology Foundation and Wiley Publishing Asia Pty Ltd.
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