Disaster medicine and public health preparedness
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Disaster Med Public Health Prep · Sep 2020
Predictive Value of 5 Early Warning Scores for Critical COVID-19 Patients.
A simple evaluation tool for patients with novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) could assist the physicians to triage COVID-19 patients effectively and rapidly. This study aimed to evaluate the predictive value of 5 early warning scores based on the admission data of critical COVID-19 patients. ⋯ SEWS, NEWS, NEWS2, and HEWS demonstrated moderate discriminatory power and, therefore, offer potential utility as prognostic tools for screening severely ill COVID-19 patients. However, MEWS is not a good prognostic predictor for COVID-19.
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Disaster Med Public Health Prep · Sep 2020
Modeling the Number of Confirmed Cases and Deaths from the COVID-19 Pandemic in the UK and Forecasting from April 15 to May 30, 2020.
The UK is one of the epicenters of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in the world. As of April 14, there have been 93 873 confirmed patients of COVID-19 in the UK and 12 107 deaths with confirmed infection. On April 14, it was reported that COVID-19 was the cause of more than half of the deaths in London. ⋯ The drawback of this study is the shortage of observations. Also, to conduct a more exact study, it is possible to take the number of the tests into account as an explanatory variable besides time.