Lancet
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Coeliac disease is an autoimmune disorder that primarily affects the small intestine, and is caused by the ingestion of gluten in genetically susceptible individuals. Prevalence in the general population ranges from 0·5% to 2%, with an average of about 1%. The development of the coeliac enteropathy depends on a complex immune response to gluten proteins, including both adaptive and innate mechanisms. ⋯ The disease is associated with a risk of complications, such as osteoporosis and intestinal lymphoma. Diagnosis of coeliac disease requires a positive serology (IgA anti-transglutaminase 2 and anti-endomysial antibodies) and villous atrophy on small-intestinal biopsy. Treatment involves a gluten-free diet; however, owing to the high psychosocial burden of such a diet, research into alternative pharmacological treatments is currently very active.
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Timely, accurate, and comprehensive estimates of SARS-CoV-2 daily infection rates, cumulative infections, the proportion of the population that has been infected at least once, and the effective reproductive number (Reffective) are essential for understanding the determinants of past infection, current transmission patterns, and a population's susceptibility to future infection with the same variant. Although several studies have estimated cumulative SARS-CoV-2 infections in select locations at specific points in time, all of these analyses have relied on biased data inputs that were not adequately corrected for. In this study, we aimed to provide a novel approach to estimating past SARS-CoV-2 daily infections, cumulative infections, and the proportion of the population infected, for 190 countries and territories from the start of the pandemic to Nov 14, 2021. This approach combines data from reported cases, reported deaths, excess deaths attributable to COVID-19, hospitalisations, and seroprevalence surveys to produce more robust estimates that minimise constituent biases. ⋯ Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, J Stanton, T Gillespie, and J and E Nordstrom.