American journal of epidemiology
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Fractures of the proximal humerus, forearm, and wrist account for approximately one third of total osteoporotic fractures in the elderly. Several risk factors for these fractures were evaluated in this prospective study of 739 men and 1,105 women aged > or =60 years in Dubbo, Australia. During follow-up (1989-1996), the respective incidences of humerus and of forearm and wrist fractures, per 10,000 person-years, were 22.6 and 33.8 for men and 54.8 and 124.6 for women. ⋯ For forearm and wrist fractures, risk factors were FNBMD (men: RR = 1.5, 95% CI: 1.0, 2.3; women: RR = 1.5, 95% CI: 1.2, 1.9) and height loss (men: RR = 1.2, 95% CI: 1.0, 1.3; women: RR = 1.1, 95% CI: 1.0, 1.2). In addition, dietary calcium (men: RR = 2.0, 95% CI: 1.0, 3.6) and a history of falls (women: RR = 1.9, 95% CI: 1.4, 2.6) were also significant. These data suggest that elderly men and women largely share common risk factors for upper limb fractures and that FNBMD is the primary risk factor.
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Associations between metabolic syndrome components and prevalent ischemic heart disease (IHD) were investigated in a cross-sectional, community-based study of elderly men (n = 1,015) and women (n = 1,259) in Rancho Bernardo, California, in 1984-1987. In both sexes, there were significant positive associations between IHD defined by resting electrocardiogram criteria and age, systolic blood pressure, fasting and postchallenge hyperglycemia, total cholesterol/high density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL cholesterol) ratio, and triglycerides and an inverse significant association with HDL cholesterol. High collinearity and interactions between serum insulin and metabolic syndrome variables were accounted for by uncorrelated principal components identified by factor analysis. ⋯ In a multivariate model with age and sex, all three factors were significantly associated with IHD by electrocardiogram criteria; central metabolic factor (odds ratio (OR) = 1.6, p = 0.001), glucose factor (OR = 1.4, p < 0.001), blood pressure factor (OR = 1.2, p = 0.005), age (10 years) (OR = 1.8, p < 0.001), and female sex (OR = 0.5, p < 0.02). Similar results were obtained in analyses using clinically manifest IHD as the outcome. These results support the thesis that the metabolic syndrome exerts effects through different risk factors by different mechanisms.
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Between 1991 and 1997, the authors studied 833 participants of the Normative Aging Study in a substudy of bone lead levels (measured by K-shell x-ray fluorescence), blood lead levels, and hypertension. Among these subjects, 337 were classified as normotensive, and 182 and 314 were classified as having borderline and definite hypertension, respectively, at baseline. These bone and blood lead levels were typical of those of community-exposed men. ⋯ In proportional hazards models that controlled for age, age squared, body mass index, and family history of hypertension, an increase in patella (trabecular) lead from the midpoint of the lowest quintile to that of the highest quintile was associated with a rate ratio of definite hypertension of 1.71 (95% confidence interval: 1.08, 2.70). No association was found with blood lead level. These results support the hypothesis that cumulative exposure to lead, even at low levels sustained by the general population, may increase the risk of hypertension.
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Comparative Study
Racial disparity in pregnancy-related mortality associated with livebirth: can established risk factors explain it?
The authors conducted a nested case-control study to determine whether the fourfold increased risk of pregnancy-related mortality for US Black women compared with White women can be explained by racial differences in sociodemographic and reproductive factors. Cases were derived from a national surveillance database of pregnancy-related deaths and were restricted to White women (n = 840) and Black women (n = 448) whose pregnancies resulted in a livebirth and who died of a pregnancy-related cause between 1979 and 1986. Controls were derived from national natality data and were randomly selected White women and Black women who delivered live infants and did not die from a pregnancy-related cause (n = 5,437). ⋯ The largest racial disparity occurred among women with the lowest risk of pregnancy-related death: those of low to moderate parity who delivered normal-birth-weight babies (adjusted odds ratio = 3.53, 95% confidence interval: 2.9, 4.4). In contrast, no racial disparity was found among women with the highest risk of pregnancy-related death: high-parity women who delivered low-birth-weight babies. These findings indicate that reproductive health care professionals need to develop strategies to reduce pregnancy-related deaths among both high- and low-risk Black women.
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The 1854 English cholera outbreak led to reform of Victorian public health legislation, including the Nuisances Removal and Diseases Prevention Act. The reforms threatened the closure of many factories whose fumes were considered hazardous to the public's health. The second witness to appear before the Parliamentary committee considering the reforms was Dr. ⋯ When the committee's report was published, The Lancet chastised Snow in a stinging editorial. Parliament subsequently revised the bill in favor of the manufacturers and passed it into law. The implications of this particular episode in the history of epidemiology are discussed.