Journal of vascular surgery
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Multicenter Study
The development and validation of the AMPREDICT model for predicting mobility outcome after dysvascular lower extremity amputation.
The objective of this study was the development of AMPREDICT-Mobility, a tool to predict the probability of independence in either basic or advanced (iBASIC or iADVANCED) mobility 1 year after dysvascular major lower extremity amputation. ⋯ AMPREDICT-Mobility is a user-friendly prediction tool that can inform the patient undergoing a dysvascular amputation and the patient's provider about the probability of independence in either basic or advanced mobility at each major lower extremity amputation level.
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Comparative Study
A short time interval between the neurologic index event and carotid endarterectomy is not a risk factor for carotid surgery.
Current guidelines recommend that carotid endarterectomy (CEA) be performed as early as possible after the neurologic index event in patients with 50% to 99% carotid artery stenosis. However, recent registry data showed that patients treated ≤48 hours had a significantly increased perioperative risk. Therefore, the aim of this single-center study was to determine the effect of the time interval between the neurologic index event and CEA on the periprocedural complication rate at our institution. ⋯ The combined mortality and stroke rate was 2.5% and did not differ significantly between the four different time interval groups. CEA was safe in our cohort, even when performed as soon as possible after the index event.
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Multicenter Study Comparative Study
Evaluation of five different aneurysm scoring systems to predict mortality in ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm patients.
Ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms (RAAAs) are associated with a high overall mortality (up to 25% to 35%) ≤30 days when offered surgical treatment. Risk prediction models can provide valuable information on surgical risks, guide clinical decision making, and help identify patients who should not be operated on to prevent futile surgery. Finally, they can be used to evaluate clinical outcome. Different aneurysm scores are available. New ones (with only four parameters) are being developed, such as the Dutch Aneurysm Score (DAS). This study analyzed and compared these scoring models. ⋯ The performance of the tested models for the prediction of mortality in RAAA patients was comparable, with only a statistically significant difference between the VSS and the GAS in favor of the VSS. However, an almost perfect prediction is needed to withhold intervention, and no existing scoring system is capable of that.
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Comparative Study
Predictive models for mortality after ruptured aortic aneurysm repair do not predict futility and are not useful for clinical decision making.
The clinical decision-making utility of scoring algorithms for predicting mortality after ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms (rAAAs) remains unknown. We sought to determine the clinical utility of the algorithms compared with our clinical decision making and outcomes for management of rAAA during a 10-year period. ⋯ Clinical algorithms for predicting mortality after rAAA were not useful for predicting futility. Most patients with rAAA were not classified in the highest-risk group by the clinical decision models. Among patients identified as highest risk, predicted mortality was overestimated compared with actual mortality. The data from this study support the limited value to surgeons of the currently published algorithms.