Articles: disease.
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Our objective was to evaluate HIV prevalence and identify risk factors for HIV infection among women attending the antenatal clinic (ANC) at a large public hospital in Kisumu town, western Kenya. Between June 1996 and November 1997, in the context of a study to determine the effect of placental malaria on mother-to-child transmission of HIV in western Kenya, HIV-1 antibody testing was offered to women with a singleton uncomplicated pregnancy of > or =32 weeks' gestation attending the ANC. Women were interviewed using a structured questionnaire and had a fingerstick blood sample collected for haemoglobin (Hb), malaria smears, and HIV antibody testing. ⋯ Only 5.5% (156/2844) of the women had none of these risk factors, of whom 12% (18/156) were HIV(+). Even though the model containing the 5 identified factors fitted the data well (goodness-of-fit chi2=18.41, P=0.10), its collective capacity to predict HIV infection was poor; while 74% of the truly positive women were correctly predicted positive by the model, 52% of the truly negative women were misclassified. Among pregnant women attending the ANC in western Kenya, we were unable to identify a subgroup at risk of HIV infection using non-serological information, indicating that wherever possible universal access to voluntary HIV counselling and testing would be preferable to targeted screening.
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In the spring of 1990, local community health workers reported a measles outbreak in several partially vaccinated villages in the Punial Valley in northern Pakistan. The authors conducted an investigation in one of these villages to assess vaccine coverage and vaccine efficacy and to describe the patterns of measles outbreaks that prevailed in this community. ⋯ The occurrence of an outbreak in a community in which a relatively new vaccination program is primarily directed at younger children has been predicted by theoretical models of measles dynamics and is consistent with the experience of other vaccination programs in the developing world. These observations suggest that, in some areas of the developing world, the age groups targeted to receive measles vaccinations may need to be broadened to ensure adequate coverage to prevent recurrent outbreaks.