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Emerging Infect. Dis. · Jun 2020
Case-Fatality Risk Estimates for COVID-19 Calculated by Using a Lag Time for Fatality.
- Nick Wilson, Amanda Kvalsvig, Lucy Telfar Barnard, and Michael G Baker.
- Emerging Infect. Dis. 2020 Jun 1; 26 (6): 1339-1441.
AbstractWe estimated the case-fatality risk for coronavirus disease cases in China (3.5%); China, excluding Hubei Province (0.8%); 82 countries, territories, and areas (4.2%); and on a cruise ship (0.6%). Lower estimates might be closest to the true value, but a broad range of 0.25%-3.0% probably should be considered.
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