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- Timothy W Russell, Joel Hellewell, Christopher I Jarvis, Kevin van Zandvoort, Sam Abbott, Ruwan Ratnayake, Cmmid Covid-Working Group The members of the Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases (CMMID) COVID-19 working group are listed at the end of the article., Stefan Flasche, Rosalind M Eggo, W John Edmunds, and Adam J Kucharski.
- Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
- Eurosurveillance. 2020 Mar 1; 25 (12).
AbstractAdjusting for delay from confirmation to death, we estimated case and infection fatality ratios (CFR, IFR) for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) on the Diamond Princess ship as 2.6% (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.89-6.7) and 1.3% (95% CI: 0.38-3.6), respectively. Comparing deaths on board with expected deaths based on naive CFR estimates from China, we estimated CFR and IFR in China to be 1.2% (95% CI: 0.3-2.7) and 0.6% (95% CI: 0.2-1.3), respectively.
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