• Loren H Raun, Katherine B Ensor, John E Pederson, Laura A Campos, and David E Persse.
• Department of Statistics, Rice University, Houston, Texas; Bureau of Community and Children's Environmental Health, Houston, Texas. Electronic address: raun@rice.edu.
• Am J Prev Med. 2019 Aug 1; 57 (2): 165-171.

IntroductionThis study presents a framework for identifying "high-risk" days for asthma attacks associated with elevated concentrations of criteria pollutants using local information to warn citizens on days when the concentrations differ from Environmental Protection Agency Air Quality Index (AQI) warnings. Studies that consider the unique mixture of pollutants and the health data specific to a city provide additional information for asthma self-management. This framework is applied to air pollution and asthma data to identify supplemental warning days in Houston, Texas.MethodsA four-step framework was established to identify days with pollutant levels that pose meaningful increased risk for asthma attacks compared with baseline. Historical associations between 18,542 ambulance-treated asthma attacks and air pollutant concentrations in Houston, Texas (2004-2016; analyzed in 2018), were analyzed using a case-crossover study design with conditional logistic regression. Days with historically high associations between pollution and asthma attacks were identified as supplemental warning days.ResultsDays with 8-hour maximum ozone >66.6 parts per billion for the 3 previous days and same-day 24-hour nitrogen dioxide >19.3 parts per billion pose an RR of 15% above baseline; concentrations above these levels pose an increased risk of 15% (RR=1.15, 95% CI=1.14, 1.16) and 30% (RR=1.30, 95% CI=1.29, 1.32), respectively. These warnings add an additional 12% days per year over the AQI warnings.ConclusionsHouston uses this framework to identify supplemental air quality warnings to improve asthma self-management. Supplemental days reflect risk lower than the National Ambient Air Quality Standards and consecutive poor air quality days, differing from the AQI.Copyright © 2019 American Journal of Preventive Medicine. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

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