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- Carlo Signorelli, Thea Scognamiglio, and Anna Odone.
- School of Medicine, Vita-Salute San Raffaele University, Milan; Past-President Italian Society of Hygiene, Preventive Medicine and Public Health (SItI). signorellicarlo2307@gmail.com.
- Acta Biomed. 2020 Apr 10; 91 (3-S): 175-179.
AbstractSince the beginning of the COVID-19 epidemic in Italy, the Italian Government implemented several restrictive measures to contain the spread of the infection. Data shows that, among these measures, the lockdown implemented as of 9 March had a positive impact, in particular the central and southern regions of Italy, while other actions appeared to be less effective. When the true prevalence of a disease is unknown, it is possible estimate it, based on mortality data and the assumptive case-fatality rate of the disease. Given these assumptions, the estimated period-prevalence of COVID-19 in Italy varies from 0.35% in Sicity to 13.3% in Lombardy.
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