• The Journal of infection · Oct 2020

    Meta Analysis Comparative Study

    A comparison of mortality-related risk factors of COVID-19, SARS, and MERS: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

    • Lvliang Lu, Wenyu Zhong, Ziwei Bian, Zhiming Li, Ke Zhang, Boxuan Liang, Yizhou Zhong, Manjiang Hu, Li Lin, Jun Liu, Xi Lin, Yuji Huang, Junying Jiang, Xingfen Yang, Xin Zhang, and Zhenlie Huang.
    • Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Tropical Disease Research, Department of Toxicology, School of Public Health, Southern Medical University, 1023-1063 Shatai Nan Road, Guangzhou 510515, China.
    • J. Infect. 2020 Oct 1; 81 (4): e18-e25.

    ObjectiveCoronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a pandemic. This systematic review compares mortality risk factors including clinical, demographic and laboratory features of COVID-19, Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) and Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS). The aim is to provide new strategies for COVID-19 prevention and treatment.MethodsWe performed a systematic review with meta-analysis, using five databases to compare the predictors of death for COVID-19, SARS and MERS. A random-effects model meta-analysis calculated odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI).Results845 articles up through 11/4/2020 were retrieved, but only 28 studies were included in this meta-analysis. The results showed that males had a higher likelihood of death than females (OR = 1.82, 95% CI 1.56-2.13). Age (OR = 7.86, 95% CI 5.46-11.29), diabetes comorbidity (OR = 3.73, 95% CI 2.35-5.90), chronic lung disease (OR = 3.43, 95% CI 1.80-6.52) and hypertension (OR = 3.38, 95% CI 2.45-4.67) were the mortality risk factors. The laboratory indicators lactic dehydrogenase (OR = 37.52, 95% CI 24.68-57.03), C-reactive protein (OR = 12.11, 95% CI 5.24-27.98), and neutrophils (OR = 17.56, 95% CI 10.67-28.90) had stronger correlations with COVID-19 mortality than with SARS or MERS mortality. Consolidation and ground-glass opacity imaging features were similar among COVID-19, SARS, and MERS patients.ConclusionsCOVID-19's mortality factors are similar to those of SARS and MERS. Age and laboratory indicators could be effective predictors of COVID-19 mortality outcomes.Copyright © 2020. Published by Elsevier Ltd.

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