• Lena J Skarshaug, Silje L Kaspersen, Johan H Bjørngaard, and Kristine Pape.
• Department of Public Health and Nursing at the Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway.
• Fam Pract. 2020 Mar 25; 37 (2): 248-254.

BackgroundGeneral Practitioners' (GPs') workload has been suggested to increase in many countries; how does this impact patient follow-up?ObjectiveTo investigate trends in GP consultation patterns for adults according to baseline hypertension and anxiety/depression symptoms and attribution of the GP to trend differences.MethodsProspective cohort study, linking survey data and clinical measurements from the Norwegian HUNT3 study (2006-08) with national administrative data on GP list assignment and consultations with GP services. We grouped participants aged 40-59 years according to sex and their baseline status regarding hypertension and anxiety/depression symptoms. We registered GP consultations in 2007-16 and used general estimation equation models to estimate the level of GP consultations per month per year during follow-up. We used multilevel models with participants nested in their assigned regular GP to calculate GP-level intra-class correlation coefficients, reflecting to what extent patients' consultation patterns could be attributed to the individual GP.ResultsIn total, 47 550 HUNT3 participants were registered with 102 different GPs in Nord-Trøndelag County, Norway, in 2007. Adjusted for age, we observed an overall increase in GP consultations in 2007-16, particularly in those with a better health status at baseline. About 2% of the variance of patient consultations could be attributed to differences between GPs and 10% to the use of lengthy consultations. Out-of-hours consultations did not change much in the study period 2007-16.ConclusionIncreased use of GP consultations, mainly among the healthiest participants, encourage further research into whether these patients displace patients with heavier and more complex needs.© The Author(s) 2019. Published by Oxford University Press.

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