• Bmc Med · Feb 2021

    Course of frailty stratified by physical and mental multimorbidity patterns: a 5-year follow-up of 92,640 participants of the LifeLines cohort study.

    • Oude VoshaarR CRC0000-0003-1501-4774Department of Psychiatry, University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands. r.c.oude.voshaar@umcg.nl.Department and Institute of Psychiatry, University of São Paulo (USP), São Pau, H W Jeuring, M K Borges, R H S van den Brink, R M Marijnissen, E O Hoogendijk, B van Munster, and I Aprahamian.
    • Department of Psychiatry, University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands. r.c.oude.voshaar@umcg.nl.
    • Bmc Med. 2021 Feb 8; 19 (1): 29.

    BackgroundThe frailty index (FI) is a well-recognized measurement for risk stratification in older people. Among middle-aged and older people, we examined the prospective association between the FI and mortality as well as its course over time in relation to multimorbidity and specific disease clusters.MethodsA frailty index (FI) was constructed based on either 64 (baseline only) or 35 health deficits (baseline and follow-up) among people aged ≥ 40 years who participated in LifeLines, a prospective population-based cohort living in the Northern Netherlands. Among 92,640 participants, multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were fitted to study the hazard ratio (HR) of the FI at baseline, as well as for 10 chronic disease clusters for all-cause mortality over a 10-year follow-up. Among 55,426 participants, linear regression analyses were applied to study the impact of multimorbidity and of specific chronic disease clusters (independent variables) on the change of frailty over a 5-year follow-up, adjusted for demographic and lifestyle characteristics.ResultsThe FI predicted mortality independent of multimorbidity and specific disease clusters, with the highest impact in people with either endocrine, lung, or heart diseases. Adjusted for demographic and lifestyle characteristics, all chronic disease clusters remained independently associated with an accelerated increase of frailty over time.ConclusionsFrailty may be seen as a final common pathway for premature death due to chronic diseases. Our results suggest that initiating frailty prevention at middle age, when the first chronic diseases emerge, might be relevant from a public health perspective.

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