• Mohammad Ali Ostovan, Samad Ghaffari, Leili Pourafkari, Pooyan Dehghani, Reza Hajizadeh, Mehdi Nadiri, and Mohammad Reza Ghaffari.
• Cardiology Department, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran.
• Heart Lung Circ. 2016 Feb 1; 25 (2): 184-90.

BackgroundVarious risk stratification systems have been used to predict the clinical outcome of patients with pulmonary embolism (PE). In this study we present a modification of the simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (S-PESI) score and evaluate its accuracy in predicting the outcome of these patients.Materials And MethodsPatients older than 18 years with documented PE were enrolled in this study. S-PESI was calculated in all patients. We added electrocardiographic evidence of right ventricular strain as a new criteria and replaced the O2 saturation of <90% in S-PESI score with PaO2 /PaCO2 ratio obtained from the arterial blood gas analysis as two newly modified criteria to define a modified form of S-PESI system (modified s-PESI). Patients were followed for about one year in outpatient clinics. Any deaths attributable to PE or for unknown reasons were considered as PE related. We defined Major Adverse Cardio-Pulmonary Events (MACPE) as sum of one-year mortality, need for thrombolysis and mechanical ventilation during index hospitalisation.ResultsAmong 300 enrolled patients, in-hospital mortality occurred in 38 (12.7%) and one-year mortality in 73 (24.3%) patients. Considering a cut-off point of 3, modified s-PESI score had a lower sensitivity (49.3% vs. 89%) and higher specificity (79.4% vs. 37.7%) than S-PESI to predict one-year mortality. Area Under Curve (AUC) to predict MACPE was significantly higher for modified s-PESI (0.692 vs 0.730, P=0.012).ConclusionThe modified s-PESI is superior to S-PESI in predicting one-year outcome in patients with PE and can be used for more accurate risk stratification of these patients.Copyright © 2015 Australian and New Zealand Society of Cardiac and Thoracic Surgeons (ANZSCTS) and the Cardiac Society of Australia and New Zealand (CSANZ). Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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