• J. Thromb. Thrombolysis · Oct 2017

    Comorbidity assessment as predictor of short and long-term mortality in elderly patients with hemodynamically stable acute pulmonary embolism.

    • Hernan Polo Friz, Valeria Corno, Annalisa Orenti, Chiara Buzzini, Chiara Crivellari, Francesco Petri, Melisa Polo Friz, Veronica Punzi, Daniela Teruzzi, Cavalieri d'Oro Luca L Epidemiology Unit - Local Health Authority of Monza and Brianza province, Monza, Italy., Cristina Giannattasio, Giuseppe Vighi, Claudio Cimminiello, and Patrizia Boracchi.
    • Internal Medicine, Department of Medicine, Vimercate Hospital, Azienda Ospedaliera di Desio e Vimercate, via Santi Cosma e Damiano 10, 20871, Vimercate, Italy. hernanemilio.polofriz@asst-vimercate.it.
    • J. Thromb. Thrombolysis. 2017 Oct 1; 44 (3): 316-323.

    AbstractElderly patients presenting with acute pulmonary embolism (PE) frequently have significant underlying comorbidities which may condition the prognosis. The current study aimed to determine the ability of Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) score to predict short and long-term mortality in elderly patients with hemodynamically stable acute PE. All hemodynamically stable patients aged >65 years with acute PE, evaluated in the Emergency Department since 2010 through 2014, were included in this retrospective cohort study. CCI, simplified pulmonary embolism severity index (sPESI) scores and vital status were recorded. Were included 162 patients with confirmed PE, out of 657 suspected cases (24.7%). Median age: 79.2 years, 74.1% presented an sPESI > 1 and 61.1% a CCI > 1. The overall 30, 90-day and 2-year mortality was 11.7% (95%CI 6.6-16.6), 19.8% (95%CI 13.4-25.7) and 31.8% (95%CI 24.1-38.8). For 30-day mortality sPESI showed an AUC 0.642 (95%CI 0.511-0.772) and adding CCI as covariate did not increase its prognostic performance. For 90-day mortality, in an adjusted model including sPESI and CCI, CCI showed a HR 1.282 (95%CI 1.151-1.429, p-value < 0.001), and sPESI a HR = NS(p-value = 0.267). For 2-year mortality, in an adjusted model including sPESI and CCI, CCI showed a HR 1.295 (95%CI 1.180-1.421, p-value < 0.001) and sPESI a HR = NS(p-value = 0.353). In elderly patients with hemodynamically stable PE, the CCI score was found to be an independent predictor of mortality. CCI shows a significantly better ability to predict 90-day and 2-year mortality than sPESI. The assessment of comorbidity burden by using the CCI score may be proposed as an useful tool to predict mortality in these patients.

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