• Jessica E Lockery, Jonathan C Broder, Joanne Ryan, Ashley C Stewart, Robyn L Woods, Trevor T-J Chong, Geoffrey C Cloud, Anne Murray, Jason D Rigby, Raj Shah, Elsdon Storey, Stephanie A Ward, Rory Wolfe, Christopher M Reid, Taya A Collyer, Michael E Ernst, and ASPREE Investigator Group, ASPREE Investigator Group listed on www.aspree.org.
• Department of Epidemiology & Preventive Medicine, Monash University, ASPREE Co-ordinating Centre, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. jessica.lockery@monash.edu.
• J Gen Intern Med. 2021 Jun 1; 36 (6): 162916371629-1637.

BackgroundAnticholinergic medications may increase risk of dementia and stroke, but prospective studies in healthy older people are lacking.ObjectiveCompare risk of incident dementia and stroke by anticholinergic burden among initially healthy older people.DesignProspective cohort study.SettingPrimary care (Australia and USA).Participants19,114 community-dwelling participants recruited for the ASPREE trial, aged 70+ years (65+ if US minorities) without major cardiovascular disease, dementia diagnosis, or Modified Mini-Mental State Examination score below 78/100.MeasurementsBaseline anticholinergic exposure was calculated using the Anticholinergic Cognitive Burden (ACB) score. Dementia was adjudicated using Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders volume IV criteria, and stroke using the World Health Organization definition.ResultsAt baseline, 15,000 participants (79%) had an ACB score of zero, 2930 (15%) a score of 1-2, and 1184 (6%) a score of ≥ 3 (indicating higher burden). After a median follow-up of 4.7 years and adjusting for baseline covariates, a baseline ACB score of ≥ 3 was associated with increased risk of ischemic stroke (adjusted HR 1.58, 95% CI 1.06, 2.35), or dementia (adjusted HR 1.36, 95% CI 1.01, 1.82), especially of mixed etiology (adjusted HR 1.53, 95% CI 1.06, 2.21). Results were similar for those exposed to moderate/highly anticholinergic medications.LimitationsResidual confounding and reverse causality are possible. Assessment of dose or duration was not possible.ConclusionsHigh anticholinergic burden in initially healthy older people was associated with increased risk of incident dementia and ischemic stroke. A vascular effect may underlie this association. These findings highlight the importance of minimizing anticholinergic exposure in healthy older people.

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