• Ciência & saúde coletiva · Sep 2020

    Estimates of the impact of COVID-19 on mortality of institutionalized elderly in Brazil.

    • Carla Jorge Machado, Pereira Claudia Cristina de Aguiar CCA Departamento de Administração e Planejamento em Saúde, Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública Sergio Arouca, Fiocruz, Rio de Janeiro, RJ,, Viana Bernardo de Mattos BM Departamento de Saúde Mental, Faculdade de Medicina, UFMG, Brazil., Graziella Lage Oliveira, Daniel Carvalho Melo, Jáder Freitas Maciel Garcia de Carvalho, Flávia Lanna de Moraes, and Edgar Nunes de Moraes.
    • Departamento de Medicina Preventiva e Social, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Brazil, carlajmachado@gmail.com.
    • Cien Saude Colet. 2020 Sep 1; 25 (9): 3437-3444.

    AbstractThe COVID-19 pandemic poses difficulties for long-term care institutions for the elderly, with increased mortality rates for the residents. This study aims to estimate the impact of COVID-19 on mortality of institutionalized elderly in Brazil. Estimates of the percentage of elderly deaths occurring in care homes were calculated for Brazil, States and Regions using estimates for the total number of deaths. The estimation was based upon information available for other countries. The weighted percentage was 44.7% and 107,538 COVID-19 deaths were estimated for the elderly in these institutions in Brazil in 2020. Higher numbers of deaths were expected in the Southeast Region (48,779 deaths), followed by the Northeast Region (28,451 deaths); São Paulo was the most affected State (24,500 deaths). The strong impact of COVID-19 on the elderly population living in long-term care facilities is clear. Estimates for the country exceeded 100,000 elderly people, potentially the most fragile and vulnerable, and are based upon a conservative number of total deaths, in view of other estimates and the alarming situation of death growth in Brazil from COVID-19.

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