• Int. J. Infect. Dis. · Sep 2020

    Comparative Study

    Comparing COVID-19 and the 1918-19 influenza pandemics in the United Kingdom.

    • Daihai He, Shi Zhao, Yingke Li, Peihua Cao, Daozhou Gao, Yijun Lou, and Lin Yang.
    • Department of Applied Mathematics, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China. Electronic address: daihai.he@polyu.edu.hk.
    • Int. J. Infect. Dis. 2020 Sep 1; 98: 67-70.

    AbstractWe compared the COVID-19 and 1918-19 influenza pandemics in the United Kingdom. We found that the ongoing COVID-19 wave of infection matched the major wave of the 1918-19 influenza pandemic surprisingly well, with both reaching similar magnitudes (in terms of estimated weekly new infections) and spending the same duration with over five cases per 1000 inhabitants over the previous two months. We also discussed the similarities in epidemiological characteristics between these two pandemics.Copyright © 2020 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.

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