• Santiago Ruta, Einer Sanchez Prado, Jessica Torres Chichande, Alvaro Ruta, Facundo Salvatori, Sebastián Magri, and Rodrigo García Salinas.
• Rheumatology Unit, Hospital Italiano de La Plata, 51 Street, 1725, 1900, La Plata, Buenos Aires Province, Argentina. santiagoruta@gmail.com.
• Clin. Rheumatol. 2020 May 1; 39 (5): 1493-1499.

ObjectivesTo evaluate the performance of the European League Against Rheumatism (EULAR) definition of arthralgias suspicious for progression to RA in patients with hand arthralgias and to estimate the added value of both auto-antibodies and ultrasound (US) with power Doppler (PD).MethodsConsecutive patients admitted for hand arthralgias to "Reuma-check" ® program were included. This program includes the following at baseline: clinical assessment, laboratory tests, US with PD of both hands, and radiography of both hands and feet. All patients were followed-up after baseline evaluation by their treating rheumatologists, and a definitive diagnosis of RA (ACR/EULAR 2010 criteria) was established or not.ResultsA total of 465 consecutive patients were included. During follow-up, 44 (9.4%) were diagnosed with RA. Mean of baseline EULAR features describing arthralgia suspicious for progression to RA was 4.1 in patients with final diagnosis of RA vs 2.3 in non-RA patients (p < 0.0001). The AUC for the EULAR defined features describing arthralgia suspicious for progression to RA for the final diagnosis of RA was 0.7827, while adding US with PD, rheumatoid factor (RF), and anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide antibodies (ACPA) data, the AUC was 0.9172 (p < 0.0001). In the multivariate regression logistic analysis, baseline features associated with a final diagnosis of RA were difficulty with making a fist, RF, ACPA, and US with PD.ConclusionsEULAR definition of arthralgia suspicious for progression to RA had an acceptable performance to predict the future development of RA and improves adding information of both RF, ACPA and US with PD data.Key Points• Clinically suspect arthralgia may trigger rheumatologists to monitor patients closely for an early diagnosis.• EULAR definition of arthralgia suspicious for progression to RA predicts future development of arthritis.• Auto-antibodies and ultrasound improve EULAR definition of arthralgia suspicious for progression to RA.

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