• J. Am. Coll. Cardiol. · Aug 2019

    Multicenter Study

    Predicting Major Adverse Events in Patients With Acute Myocardial Infarction.

    • Thomas Nestelberger, Jasper Boeddinghaus, Desiree Wussler, Raphael Twerenbold, Patrick Badertscher, Karin Wildi, Òscar Miró, Beatriz López, F Javier Martin-Sanchez, Piotr Muzyk, Luca Koechlin, Benjamin Baumgartner, Mario Meier, Valentina Troester, Maria Rubini Giménez, Christian Puelacher, Jeanne du Fay de Lavallaz, Joan Walter, Nikola Kozhuharov, Tobias Zimmermann, Danielle M Gualandro, Eleni Michou, Eliska Potlukova, Nicolas Geigy, Dagmar I Keller, Tobias Reichlin, Christian Mueller, and APACE Investigators.
    • Cardiovascular Research Institute Basel (CRIB) and Department of Cardiology, University Hospital Basel, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland; GREAT Network. Electronic address: https://twitter.com/thomas_nest.
    • J. Am. Coll. Cardiol. 2019 Aug 20; 74 (7): 842-854.

    BackgroundEarly and accurate detection of short-term major adverse cardiac events (MACE) in patients with suspected acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is an unmet clinical need.ObjectivesThe goal of this study was to test the hypothesis that adding clinical judgment and electrocardiogram findings to the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) measurement at presentation and after 1 h (ESC hs-cTn 0/1 h algorithm) would further improve its performance to predict MACE.MethodsPatients presenting to an emergency department with suspected AMI were enrolled in a prospective, multicenter diagnostic study. The primary endpoint was MACE, including all-cause death, cardiac arrest, AMI, cardiogenic shock, sustained ventricular arrhythmia, and high-grade atrioventricular block within 30 days including index events. The secondary endpoint was MACE + unstable angina (UA) receiving early (≤24 h) revascularization.ResultsAmong 3,123 patients, the ESC hs-cTnT 0/1 h algorithm triaged significantly more patients toward rule-out compared with the extended algorithm (60%; 95% CI: 59% to 62% vs. 45%; 95% CI: 43% to 46%; p < 0.001), while maintaining similar 30-day MACE rates (0.6%; 95% CI: 0.3% to 1.1% vs. 0.4%; 95% CI: 0.1% to 0.9%; p = 0.429), resulting in a similar negative predictive value (99.4%; 95% CI: 98.9% to 99.6% vs. 99.6%; 95% CI: 99.2% to 99.8%; p = 0.097). The ESC hs-cTnT 0/1 h algorithm ruled-in fewer patients (16%; 95% CI: 14.9% to 17.5% vs. 26%; 95% CI: 24.2% to 27.2%; p < 0.001) compared with the extended algorithm, albeit with a higher positive predictive value (76.6%; 95% CI: 72.8% to 80.1% vs. 59%; 95% CI: 55.5% to 62.3%; p < 0.001). For 30-day MACE + UA, the ESC hs-cTnT 0/1 h algorithm had a higher positive predictive value for rule-in, whereas the extended algorithm had a higher negative predictive value for the rule-out. Similar findings emerged when using hs-cTnI.ConclusionsThe ESC hs-cTn 0/1 h algorithm better balanced efficacy and safety in the prediction of MACE, whereas the extended algorithm is the preferred option for the rule-out of 30-day MACE + UA. (Advantageous Predictors of Acute Coronary Syndromes Evaluation [APACE]; NCT00470587).Copyright © 2019 American College of Cardiology Foundation. All rights reserved.

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