• Isr Med Assoc J · Jun 2021

    The Effect of Population Age and Climate on COVID-19 Morbidity and Mortality.

    • Ariel Zilberlicht, Dan Abramov, Nir Kugelman, Ofer Lavie, Yossef Elias, and Yoram Abramov.
    • Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Carmel Medical Center, Haifa, Israel.
    • Isr Med Assoc J. 2021 Jun 1; 23 (6): 336-340.

    BackgroundThe novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is an infectious disease that presents an urgent challenge to global health and economy.ObjectivesTo assess the effects of population median age and mean ambient temperature on the COVID-19 global pandemic burden.MethodsWe used databases from open access public domains to record population median age, mean ambient temperature, and the numbers of COVID-19 cases and deaths on days 14 and 28 from the pandemic outbreak for each country in the world. We then calculated the correlation between these parameters.ResultsThe analysis included 202 countries. A univariate analysis showed that population median age significantly correlated with the cumulative number of cases and deaths, while mean ambient temperature showed a significant inverse correlation with the cumulative number of deaths on days 14 and 28 from the epidemic outbreak. After a multivariate logistic regression analysis only population median age retained its statistically significant correlation.ConclusionsCountry population median age significantly correlated with COVID-19 pandemic burden while mean ambient temperature shows a significant inverse correlation only in univariate analysis. Countries with older populations encountered a heavier burden from the COVID-19 pandemic. This information may be valuable for health systems in planning strategies for combating this global health hazard.

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