• J. Pediatr. Surg. · May 2020

    The fragility of statistically significant findings from randomized controlled trials in pediatric appendicitis: A systematic review.

    • Tessa Robinson, Noora Al-Shahwani, Bethany Easterbrook, and Lisa VanHouwelingen.
    • McMaster Pediatric Surgery Research Collaborative, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada; Division of Pediatric General Surgery, Department of Surgery, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.
    • J. Pediatr. Surg. 2020 May 1; 55 (5): 800-804.

    PurposeRandomized controlled trials (RCT) in pediatric appendicitis remain limited, and the robustness of available evidence is unknown. The aim of this study was to determine the fragility of results in pediatric appendicitis RCTs.MethodsA systematic search of Embase and MEDLINE was performed. Eligible studies were two-armed RCTs that included at least one statistically significant dichotomous outcome, had parallel-group allocation, and assessed pediatric patients (0-17) with a primary diagnosis of appendicitis. The Fragility Index (FI) for one statistically significant outcome per trial was calculated using a Fisher's exact test, with statistical significance set at p < 0.05.ResultsSix studies were identified for inclusion. Studies included a median of 103 patients (interquartile range [IQR] 86-127), with a median of 18 (IQR 4.5-41.25) events for analyzed outcomes. The primary outcome variable was included in analysis for 4(67%) studies. The median FI across studies was 3 (IQR 0.75-4.25), with results ranging from 0 to 5. Results indicate that overall, converting 3 patients from non-events to events in a single trial arm would change the significant dichotomous outcome to nonsignificant.ConclusionThe fragility of results in RCTs in pediatric appendicitis should be considered before clinical practice is changed. Investigators should consider reporting the FI alongside study results, as p-values alone may be misleading.Type Of StudyRandomized Controlled Trial.Level Of EvidenceLevel I.Copyright © 2020 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

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