• Jay Prakash, Pradip Kumar Bhattacharya, Arun Kumar Yadav, Amit Kumar, Lal Chand Tudu, and Kameshwar Prasad.
• Department of Critical Care Medicine, Rajendra Institute of Medical Sciences, Ranchi, Jharkhand, India. Electronic address: dr.jay_prakash@rediffmail.com.
• J Crit Care. 2021 Dec 1; 66: 102108102-108.

PurposePrediction of high flow nasal cannula (HFNC) failure in COVID-19 patients with acute hypoxemic respiratory failure (AHRF) may improve clinical management and stratification of patients for optimal treatment. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to determine performance of ROX index as a predictor of HFNC failure.Materials And MethodsSystematic search was performed in electronic databases (PubMed, Google Scholar, Web of Science and Cochrane Library) for articles published till 15 June 2021 investigating ROX index as a predictor for HFNC failure. Quality In Prognosis Studies (QUIPS) tool was used to analyze risk of bias for prognostic factors, by two independent authors.ResultsEight retrospective or prospective cohort studies involving 1301 patients showed a good discriminatory value, summary area under the curve (sAUC) 0.81 (95% CI, 0.77-0.84) with sensitivity of 0.70 (95% CI, 0.59-0.80) and specificity of 0.79 (95% CI, 0.67-0.88) for predicting HNFC failure. The positive and negative likelihood ratio were 3.0 (95% CI, 2.2-5.3) and 0.37 (95% CI, 0.28-0.50) respectively, and was strongly associated with a promising predictive accuracy (Diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) 9, 95% CI, 5-16).ConclusionThis meta-analysis suggests ROX index has good discriminating power for prediction of HFNC failure in COVID-19 patients with AHRF.Copyright © 2021 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

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