• HalpinDavid M GDMGRoyal Devon and Exeter Hospital, Barrack Road, Exeter, EX2 5DW, United Kingdom. Electronic address: d.halpin@nhs.net., Marc Decramer, Bartolome R Celli, Achim Mueller, Norbert Metzdorf, and Donald P Tashkin.
• Royal Devon and Exeter Hospital, Barrack Road, Exeter, EX2 5DW, United Kingdom. Electronic address: d.halpin@nhs.net.
• Respir Med. 2017 Jul 1; 128: 85-91.

BackgroundCOPD exacerbations are associated with accelerated lung function decline, but whether they are causal is unknown. We evaluated the effect of a single exacerbation on rate of lung function change using data from the 4-year Understanding Potential Long-term Impacts on Function with Tiotropium (UPLIFT®) trial.MethodsRetrospective analysis of annual rates of decline in FEV1 and FVC before and after a single (and the only) moderate-to-severe exacerbation in patients during UPLIFT® (exacerbator subgroup), compared with changes between the first and second half of the study in a non-exacerbator subgroup. A sensitivity analysis examined annual rates of decline in matched pairs of exacerbators and non-exacerbators.ResultsFollowing the single moderate-to-severe exacerbation, mean annual decline in post-bronchodilator lung function increased compared with the rate of decline before the exacerbation (FEV1 76.5 vs. 39.1 mL/year, p = 0.003; FVC 106.5 vs. 34.7 mL/year, p = 0.011). In non-exacerbators, there were no differences in rates of decline between the first and second halves of the study (post-bronchodilator FEV1 38.2 vs. 41.8 mL/year, FVC 45.3 vs. 43.9 mL/year. Before the single (moderate-to-severe) exacerbation in the exacerbator subgroup, declines in post-bronchodilator FEV1 or FVC were similar to non-exacerbators in the first half of the study; after the single exacerbation they were significantly higher than for non-exacerbators in the second half of the study. The sensitivity analysis showed similar results.ConclusionA single COPD exacerbation may result in significant increase in the rate of decline in lung function.Copyright © 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

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