• The lancet oncology · Mar 2009

    Circulating tumour cells as prognostic markers in progressive, castration-resistant prostate cancer: a reanalysis of IMMC38 trial data.

    • Howard I Scher, Xiaoyu Jia, Johann S de Bono, Martin Fleisher, Kenneth J Pienta, Derek Raghavan, and Glenn Heller.
    • Genitourinary Oncology Service, Department of Medicine, Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA.
    • Lancet Oncol. 2009 Mar 1; 10 (3): 233-9.

    BackgroundIntermediate or surrogate endpoints for survival can shorten time lines for drug approval. We aimed to assess circulating tumour cell (CTC) count as a prognostic factor for survival in patients with progressive, metastatic, castration-resistant prostate cancer receiving first-line chemotherapy.MethodsWe identified patients with progressive metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer starting first-line chemotherapy in the IMMC38 trial. CTCs were isolated by immunomagnetic capture from blood samples at baseline and after treatment. Baseline variables, including CTC count, titre of prostate-specific antigen (PSA), and concentration of lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), and post-treatment variables (change in CTCs and PSA) were tested for association with survival with Cox proportional hazards models. Concordance probability estimates were used to gauge discriminatory strength of the informative factors in identifying patients at low-risk and high-risk of survival.FindingsVariables associated with high risk of death were high LDH concentration (hazard ratio 6.44, 95% CI 4.24-9.79), high CTC count (1.58, 1.41-1.77), and high PSA titre (1.26, 1.10-1.45), low albumin (0.10, 0.03-0.39), and low haemoglobin (0.72, 0.64-0.81) at baseline. At 4 weeks, 8 weeks, and 12 weeks after treatment, changes in CTC number were strongly associated with risk, whereas changes in PSA titre were weakly or not associated (p>0.04). The most predictive factors for survival were LDH concentration and CTC counts (concordance probability estimate 0.72-0.75).InterpretationCTC number, analysed as a continuous variable, can be used to monitor disease status and might be useful as an intermediate endpoint of survival in clinical trials. Prospective recording of CTC number as an intermediate endpoint of survival in randomised clinical trials is warranted.

      Pubmed     Full text   Copy Citation     Plaintext  

      Add institutional full text...

    Notes

     
    Knowledge, pearl, summary or comment to share?
    300 characters remaining
    help        
    You can also include formatting, links, images and footnotes in your notes
    • Simple formatting can be added to notes, such as *italics*, _underline_ or **bold**.
    • Superscript can be denoted by <sup>text</sup> and subscript <sub>text</sub>.
    • Numbered or bulleted lists can be created using either numbered lines 1. 2. 3., hyphens - or asterisks *.
    • Links can be included with: [my link to pubmed](http://pubmed.com)
    • Images can be included with: ![alt text](https://bestmedicaljournal.com/study_graph.jpg "Image Title Text")
    • For footnotes use [^1](This is a footnote.) inline.
    • Or use an inline reference [^1] to refer to a longer footnote elseweher in the document [^1]: This is a long footnote..

    hide…