• Eur J Anaesthesiol · Mar 2022

    Multicenter Study

    Peri-interventional outcome study in the elderly in Europe: A 30-day prospective cohort study.

    • POSE-Study group.
    • Eur J Anaesthesiol. 2022 Mar 1; 39 (3): 198209198-209.

    ObjectivesThe aim of this study was to describe the 30-day mortality rate of patients aged 80 years and older undergoing surgical and nonsurgical procedures under anaesthesia in Europe and to identify risk factors associated with mortality.DesignA prospective cohort study.SettingEuropean multicentre study, performed from October 2017 to December 2018. Centres committed to a 30-day recruitment period within the study period.PatientsNine thousand four hundred and ninety-seven consecutively recruited patients aged 80 years and older undergoing any kind of surgical or nonsurgical procedures under anaesthesia.Main Outcome MeasuresThe primary outcome was all-cause mortality within 30 days after procedure described by Kaplan-Meier curves with 95% CI. Risk factors for 30-day mortality were analysed using a Cox regression model with 14 fixed effects and a random centre effect.ResultsData for 9497 patients (median age, 83.0 years; 52.8% women) from 177 academic and nonacademic hospitals in 20 countries were analysed. Patients presented with multimorbidity (77%), frailty (14%) and at least partial functional dependence (38%). The estimated 30-day mortality rate was 4.2% (95% CI 3.8 to 4.7). Among others, independent risk factors for 30-day mortality were multimorbidity, hazard ratio 1.87 (95% CI 1.26 to 2.78), frailty, hazard ratio 2.63 (95% CI 2.10 to 3.30), and limited mobility, hazard ratio 2.19 (95% CI 1.24 to 3.86). The majority of deaths (76%) occurred in hospital. Mortality risk for unplanned ICU admission was higher, hazard ratio 3.57 (95% CI 2.38 to 5.26) than for planned ICU admission, hazard ratio 1.92 (95% CI 1.47 to 2.50). Compared with other studies, the in-hospital complication rates of 17.4 and 3.9% after discharge were low. Admission to a unit with geriatric care within 30 days after the intervention was associated with a better survival within the first 10 days.ConclusionsThe estimated 30-day mortality rate of 4.2% was lower than expected in this vulnerable population.Trial RegistrationClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03152734, https://clinicaltrials.gov.Copyright © 2021 The Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. on behalf of the European Society of Anaesthesiology and Intensive Care.

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