• Xiangyu Meng, Dezhi Gao, Hongwei He, Shibin Sun, Ali Liu, Hengwei Jin, and Youxiang Li.
• Department of Interventional Neuroradiology, Beijing Neurosurgical Institute, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China; Department of Interventional Neuroradiology, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
• World Neurosurg. 2022 Jul 1; 163: e73-e82.

ObjectiveTo propose a machine learning (ML) model predicting the favorable outcome of stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) for residual brain arteriovenous malformation (bAVM) after partial embolization.MethodsOne hundred and thirty bAVM patients who underwent partial embolization followed by SRS were reviewed retrospectively. Patients were split at random split into training datasets (n = 100) and testing datasets (n = 30). Radiomics and dosimetric features were extracted from pre-SRS treatment images. Feature selection was performed to select appropriate radiomics and dosimetric features. Three ML algorithms were applied to construct models using selected features respectively. A total of 9 models were trained to predict favorable outcomes (obliteration without complication) of bAVMs. The efficacy of these models was evaluated on the testing dataset using mean accuracy (ACC) and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).ResultsThe obliteration rate of this cohort was 70.77% (92 of 130) with a mean follow-up of 43.8 months (range, 12-108 months). Favorable outcomes were achieved in 89 patients (68.46%). Four radiomics features and 7 dosimetric features were selected for ML model construction. The dosimetric support vector machines (SVM) model showed the best performance on the training dataset, with an ACC of 0.74 and AUC of 0.78. The dosimetric SVM model also showed the best performance on the testing dataset, with an ACC of 0.83 and AUC of 0.77.ConclusionsDosimetric features are good predictors of prognosis for patients with partially embolized bAVM followed by SRS therapy. The use of ML models is an innovative method for predicting favorable outcomes of partially embolized bAVM followed by SRS therapy.Copyright © 2022 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

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