• S E Wolf, J K Rose, M H Desai, J P Mileski, R E Barrow, and D N Herndon.
• Department of Surgery, University of Texas Medical Branch, Galveston, USA.
• Ann. Surg. 1997 May 1;225(5):554-65; discussion 565-9.

ObjectiveSurvivors and nonsurvivors among 103 consecutive pediatric patients with massive burns were compared in an effort to define the predictors of mortality in massively burned children.Summary Background DataPredictors of mortality in burns that are used commonly are age, burn size, and inhalation injury. In the past, burns over 80% of the body surface area that are mostly full-thickness often were considered fatal, especially in children and in the elderly. In the past 15 years, advances in burn treatment have increased rates of survival in those patients treated at specialized burn centers. The purpose of this study was to document the extent of improvement and to define the current predictors of mortality to further focus burn care.MethodsBeginning in 1982, 103 children ages 6 months to 17 years with burns covering at least 80% of the body surface (70% full-thickness), were treated in the authors' institution by early excision and grafting and have been observed to determine outcome. The authors divided collected independent variables from the time of injury into temporally related groups and analyzed the data sequentially and cumulatively through univariate statistics and through pooled, cross-sectional multivariate logistic regression to determine which variables predict the probability of mortality.ResultsThe mortality rate for this series of massively burned children was 33%. Lower age, larger burn size, presence of inhalation injury, delayed intravenous access, lower admission hematocrit, lower base deficit on admission, higher serum osmolarity at arrival to the authors' hospital, sepsis, inotropic support requirement, platelet count < 20,000, and ventilator dependency during the hospital course significantly predict increased mortality.ConclusionsThe authors conclude that mortality has decreased in massively burned children to the extent that nearly all patients should be considered as candidates for survival, regardless of age, burn size, presence of inhalation injury, delay in resuscitation, or laboratory values on initial presentation. During the course of hospitalization, the development of sepsis and multiorgan failure is a harbinger of poor outcome, but the authors have encountered futile cases only rarely. The authors found that those patients who are most apt to die are the very young, those with limited donor sites, those who have inhalation injury, those with delays in resuscitation, and those with burn-associated sepsis or multiorgan failure.

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