• Am J Emerg Med · Jun 2022

    Observational Study

    Predictors for mortality in patients admitted with suspected bacterial infections - A prospective long-term follow-up study.

    • Lana Chafranska, Oscar Overgaard Stenholt, Rune Husås Sørensen, S M Osama Bin Abdullah, and Finn Erland Nielsen.
    • Department of Emergency Medicine, Copenhagen University Hospital, Bispebjerg, Frederiksberg, Denmark. Electronic address: lana.chafranska@regionh.dk.
    • Am J Emerg Med. 2022 Jun 1; 56: 236-243.

    ObjectiveThe aim was to examine predictors for all-cause mortality in a long-term follow-up study of adult patients with infectious diseases of suspected bacterial origin.MethodsA prospective observational study of patients admitted to the emergency department during 1.10.2017-31.03.2018. We used Cox regression to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) with 95% confidence intervals for mortality.ResultsA total of 2110 patients were included (median age 73 years). After a median follow-up of 2.1 years 758 (35.9%, 95% CI 33.9-38.0%) patients had died. Age (aHR1.05; 1.04-1.05), male gender (aHR 1.21; 1.17-1.25), cancer (aHR 1.80; 1.73-1.87), misuse of alcohol (aHR 1.30; 1.22-1.38), if admitted with sepsis within the last year before index admission (aHR 1.56;1.50-1.61), a Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score ≥2 (aHR 1.90; 1.83-1.98), SIRS criteria ≥2 (aHR 1.23;1.18-1.28) at admission to the ED, length of stay (aHR 1.05; 1.04-1.05) and devices and implants as sources of infection (aHR 7.0; 5.61-8.73) were independently associated with mortality. Skin infections and increasing haemoblobin values reduced the risk of death.ConclusionsMore than one-third of a population of patients admitted to the emergency department with infectious diseases of suspected bacterial origin had died during a median follow up of 2.1 years. The study identified several independent predictors for mortality.Copyright © 2022. Published by Elsevier Inc.

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