• L F Meneghini, A Dornhorst, S Sreenan, and PREDICTIVE Study Group.
• University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, 1450 NW 10th Avenue, Miami, FL 33136, USA. lmeneghi@med.miami.edu
• Curr Med Res Opin. 2009 Apr 1; 25 (4): 102910351029-35.

ObjectivePREDICTIVE is a large, observational study of the empirical use of insulin detemir in patients with type 1 or type 2 diabetes (T1DM/T2DM). This post hoc analysis evaluates insulin-naïve patients with T2DM uncontrolled on oral antidiabetic drugs (OADs) who were initiated and remained on once-daily insulin detemir for 12 weeks.Research Design And MethodsThis observational, multinational, multi-center, open-label prospective study evaluated the efficacy and safety of insulin detemir in 1653 insulin-naïve patients with T2DM (mean age 60.8 +/- 10.9 years, BMI 29.8 +/- 4.8 kg/m(2), and HbA(1C) 8.82 +/- 1.50%). Statistical comparisons were made between baseline and 12-week follow up data. Our study was subject to the usual limitations of observational studies.Main Outcome MeasuresEndpoints were: incidence of serious adverse drug reactions, including number of hypoglycemic events (total, major, and nocturnal), glycemic parameters, and weight change.ResultsFollowing insulin initiation, no significant change occurred in the number of nocturnal hypoglycemic events or total hypoglycemic events (p = 0.4513), and no serious adverse drug reactions were observed during the 12 weeks of treatment. HbA(1C) decreased by a mean 1.25% (SD +/- 1.25%; p < 0.0001), with 30% of patients (n = 383) achieving HbA(1C) <7% at 12 weeks. Mean changes in fasting blood glucose and fasting blood glucose variability were -3.62 mmol/L (SD +/- 2.93; p < 0.0001) and -0.48 mmol/L (SD +/- 1.03; p < 0.0001), respectively. Body weight decreased by a mean 0.5 kg (SD +/- 3.3; p < 0.0001), with weight loss or no weight change occurring in a substantial percentage of patients in each BMI category (<25, 25-30, 30-35, and >35 kg/m(2)). Patients with higher baseline BMI lost the most weight, with the greatest weight loss (-1.20 kg) reported in those with BMI >35 kg/m(2).ConclusionsEmpirical use of insulin detemir as an insulin initiation strategy can improve glycemic control with good tolerability, including a low risk of hypoglycemia and a weight benefit, in a majority of insulin-naïve patients uncontrolled on OADs.

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