• Benjamin Knudsen and Vinay Prasad.
• The George Washington University School of Medicine and Health Sciences, Washington, DC, USA.
• Eur. J. Clin. Invest. 2023 Apr 1; 53 (4): e13947e13947.

BackgroundMyocarditis is a rare but significant adverse event associated with COVID-19 vaccination, especially for men under 40. If the risk of myocarditis is not stratified by pertinent risk factors, it may be diluted for high-risk and inflated for low-risk groups. We sought to assess how the risk of myocarditis is reported in the literature.MethodsIn accordance with PRISMA standards, we reviewed primary publications in PubMed, Embase, Google Scholar and MedRxiv (through 3/2022) and included studies that estimated the incidence of myocarditis/pericarditis after receiving either the BNT162b2 (Pfizer), mRNA-1273 (Moderna) or Ad26COVS1 (Janssen) vaccine. The main outcome was the percentage of studies using 4, 3, 2, 1 or 0 stratifiers (i.e. sex, age, dose number and manufacturer) when reporting the highest risk of myocarditis. Secondary outcomes included the incidence of myocarditis in males after dose 1 and 2 of the BNT162b2 (Pfizer) or mRNA-1273 (Moderna) vaccine.ResultsThe 29 included studies originated in North America, Europe, Asia, or were Worldwide. Of them, 28% (8/29) used all four stratifiers, and 45% (13/29) used 1 or 0 stratifiers. The highest incidence of myocarditis ranged from 8.1-39 cases per 100,000 persons (or doses) in studies using four stratifiers. Six studies reported an incidence greater than 15 cases per 100,000 persons (or doses) in males aged 12-24 after dose 2 of an mRNA-based vaccine.ConclusionsOnly one in four articles reporting myocarditis used four stratifiers, and men younger than 40 receiving a second dose of an mRNA vaccine are at greatest risk.© 2023 The Authors. European Journal of Clinical Investigation published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Stichting European Society for Clinical Investigation Journal Foundation.

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