• Indian J Med Res · Aug 2023

    Determinants of post discharge mortality among hospitalized COVID-19 patients: Nested matched case-control analyses from the National Clinical Registry for COVID-19.

    • Gunjan Kumar, Arunansu Talukdar, Alka Turuk, Ashish Bhalla, Subhasis Mukherjee, Pankaj Bhardwaj, Tarun Bhatnagar, and Aparna Mukherjee.
    • Clinical Studies & Trials Unit, Indian Council of Medical Research, New Delhi, India.
    • Indian J Med Res. 2023 Aug 1; 158 (2): 136144136-144.

    Background & ObjectivesThe post-acute effects of COVID-19 are continually being updated. This investigation was conducted to evaluate the determinants of post discharge mortality in hospitalized COVID-19 patients, especially 18-45 yr of age.MethodsA series of three nested case-control analyses was conducted on follow up data collected in the National Clinical Registry for COVID-19 between September 2020 and February 2023 from 31 hospitals. Matching (1:4) was done by the date of hospital admission ±14 days for the following comparisons: (i) case-patients reported as dead vs. controls alive at any contact within one year follow up; (ii) the same in the 18-45 yr age group and (iii) case-patients reported as dead between the first and one year of follow up vs. controls alive at one year post discharge.ResultsThe one year post discharge mortality was 6.5 per cent (n=942). Age [≤18 yr: adjusted odds ratio (aOR) (95% confidence interval [CI]): 1.7 (1.04, 2.9); 40-59 yr: aOR (95% CI): 2.6 (1.9, 3.6); ≥60 yr: aOR (95% CI): 4.2 (3.1, 5.7)], male gender [aOR (95% CI): 1.3 (1.1, 1.5)], moderate-to-severe COVID-19 [aOR (95% CI): 1.4 (1.2, 1.8)] and comorbidities [aOR (95%CI): 1.8 (1.4, 2.2)] were associated with higher odds of post-discharge one-year mortality, whereas 60 per cent protection was conferred by vaccination before the COVID-19 infection. The history of moderate-to-severe COVID-19 disease [aOR (95% CI): 2.3 (1.4, 3.8)] and any comorbidities [aOR (95% CI): 3 (1.9, 4.8)] were associated with post-discharge mortality in the 18-45-yr age bracket as well. Post COVID condition (PCC) was reported in 17.1 per cent of the participants. Death beyond the first follow up was associated with comorbidities [aOR (95%CI): 9.4 (3.4, 26.1)] and reported PCC [aOR (95% CI): 2.7 (1.2, 6)].Interpretation & ConclusionsPrior vaccination protects against post discharge mortality till one year in hospitalized COVID-19 patients. PCC may have long term deleterious effects, including mortality, for which further research is warranted.

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