• Gianpaolo Vidili, Angelo Zinellu, Arduino Aleksander Mangoni, Marco Arru, Valentina De Murtas, Elena Cuccuru, Alessandro Fancellu, and Panagiotis Paliogiannis.
• Department of Medicine, Surgery and Pharmacy, University of Sassari, Viale San Pietro 43a, 07100 Sassari, Italy.
• Medicina (Kaunas). 2024 Feb 25; 60 (3).

AbstractBackground and Objectives. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and the intrahepatic biliary tract cancers are estimated to rank sixth for incidence among solid cancers worldwide, and third for mortality rates. A critical issue remains the need for accurate biomarkers for risk stratification and overall prognosis. The aim of this study was to investigate the ability of a biomarker of heterogeneity of the size of red blood cells, the red cell distribution width (RDW), to predict survival in patients with HCC. Materials and Methods. A consecutive series of patients with a histologic diagnosis of HCC were included into this study irrespective of their age, stage of the disease, and treatment administered, and followed-up for a period of three years. Demographic, anthropometric [age, sex, body mass index (BMI)], and clinical data (Charlson Comorbidity Index, Child-Pugh score, etc.), along with laboratory tests were retrieved from clinical records. Results. One-hundred and four patients were included in this study. Among them, 54 (69%) were deceased at the end of the follow-up. Higher RDW values, but not other hematological and biochemical parameters, were significantly associated with mortality in both univariate and multivariate analysis. The optimal RDW cut-off value identified with the Youden test for survival was 14.7%, with 65% sensitivity and 74% specificity (AUC  =  0.718, 95% CI 0.622-0.802, p  <  0.001). Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed significantly lower survival with higher RDW values (HR = 3.5204; 95% CI 1.9680-6.2975, p < 0.0001) with a mean survival of 30.9 ± 9.67 months for patients with RDW ≤ 14.7% and 22.3 ± 11.4 months for patients with RDW > 14.7%. Conclusions. The results of our study showed that RDW can perform better than other blood-based biomarkers in independently predicting prognosis in patients with HCC.

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