• Crit Care · Apr 2024

    Observational Study

    Quantitative analysis of apparent diffusion coefficients to predict neurological prognosis in cardiac arrest survivors: an observational derivation and internal-external validation study.

    • Jung A Yoon, Changshin Kang, Jung Soo Park, Yeonho You, Jin Hong Min, Yong Nam In, Wonjoon Jeong, AhnHong JunHJDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Chungnam National University Hospital, Daejoen, Republic of Korea.Department of Emergency Medicine, College of Medicine, Chungnam National University, 266 Munwha-ro, Jung-gu, Daejeon, 35015, Republic of Korea, Hye Seon Jeong, KimYong HwanYHDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Samsung Changwon Hospital, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Changwon, Gyeongsangnam-do, Republic of Korea., Byung Kook Lee, and Dongha Kim.
    • Department of Emergency Medicine, Chungnam National University Hospital, Daejoen, Republic of Korea.
    • Crit Care. 2024 Apr 25; 28 (1): 138138.

    BackgroundThis study aimed to validate apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) values and thresholds to predict poor neurological outcomes in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) survivors by quantitatively analysing the ADC values via brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI).MethodsThis observational study used prospectively collected data from two tertiary academic hospitals. The derivation cohort comprised 70% of the patients randomly selected from one hospital, whereas the internal validation cohort comprised the remaining 30%. The external validation cohort used the data from another hospital, and the MRI data were restricted to scans conducted at 3 T within 72-96 h after an OHCA experience. We analysed the percentage of brain volume below a specific ADC value at 50-step intervals ranging from 200 to 1200 × 10-6 mm2/s, identifying thresholds that differentiate between good and poor outcomes. Poor neurological outcomes were defined as cerebral performance categories 3-5, 6 months after experiencing an OHCA.ResultsA total of 448 brain MRI scans were evaluated, including a derivation cohort (n = 224) and internal/external validation cohorts (n = 96/128, respectively). The proportion of brain volume with ADC values below 450, 500, 550, 600, and 650 × 10-6 mm2/s demonstrated good to excellent performance in predicting poor neurological outcomes in the derivation group (area under the curve [AUC] 0.89-0.91), and there were no statistically significant differences in performances among the derivation, internal validation, and external validation groups (all P > 0.5). Among these, the proportion of brain volume with an ADC below 600 × 10-6 mm2/s predicted a poor outcome with a 0% false-positive rate (FPR) and 76% (95% confidence interval [CI] 68-83) sensitivity at a threshold of > 13.2% in the derivation cohort. In both the internal and external validation cohorts, when using the same threshold, a specificity of 100% corresponded to sensitivities of 71% (95% CI 58-81) and 78% (95% CI 66-87), respectively.ConclusionsIn this validation study, by consistently restricting the MRI types and timing during quantitative analysis of ADC values in brain MRI, we observed high reproducibility and sensitivity at a 0% FPR. Prospective multicentre studies are necessary to validate these findings.© 2024. The Author(s).

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