• Mohamed A Labib, Joshua S Catapano, Mizuho Inoue, Kristina M Kupanoff, Rohin Singh, Irakliy Abramov, Lea Scherschinski, Visish M Srinivasan, Teddy S Youn, Robert F Spetzler, and Michael T Lawton.
• Department of Neurosurgery, Barrow Neurological Institute, St. Joseph's Hospital and Medical Center , Phoenix , Arizona , USA.
• Neurosurgery. 2024 Sep 1; 95 (3): 660668660-668.

Background And ObjectivesPredicting functional outcomes after surgical management of ruptured aneurysms is essential. This study sought to validate the modified Southwestern Aneurysm Severity Index (mSASI), which predicts functional outcomes 1 year after treatment.MethodsThe surgical arm of a randomized controlled trial, the Barrow Ruptured Aneurysm Trial, was used to validate the mSASI model. mSASI scores incorporating the Hunt and Hess scale, Non-Neurological American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Classification Status, imaging findings, and other modifiers were assigned and evaluated against the Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS) score at 1 year. The model's performance was assessed for discrimination and calibration. Similar evaluations were constructed using the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) as the 1-year functional outcome measurement. Long-term outcomes (3, 6, 10 years) were also evaluated.ResultsOf 280 clinical trial patients treated surgically, 242 met the inclusion criteria. The mean age was 54.1 ± 12.9 years; 31% were men. Favorable GOS score (4-5) and mRS score (0-2) at 1 year were observed in 73.6% and 66.1% of patients, respectively. The mSASI model predicted unfavorable GOS score at 1 year with fair to good discrimination (area under the curve = 0.75, 95% CI = 0.68-0.82) and accurate calibration (R 2 = 0.98). Similar results were obtained when mRS was used as the outcome measure (area under the curve = 0.75, 95% CI = 0.68-0.82; R 2 = 0.95).ConclusionThe mSASI model was externally validated in our cohort to predict functional outcomes using the GOS or mRS scores 1 year after surgery. This index may be used for prognosticating outcomes of patients undergoing surgery for ruptured aneurysms at short-term and long-term intervals.Copyright © Congress of Neurological Surgeons 2024. All rights reserved.

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