• Am. J. Med. · Jul 2016

    Real-Time Automated Sampling of Electronic Medical Records Predicts Hospital Mortality.

    • Hargobind S Khurana, Robert H Groves, Michael P Simons, Mary Martin, Brenda Stoffer, Sherri Kou, Richard Gerkin, Eric Reiman, and Sairam Parthasarathy.
    • Banner TeleHealth, Mesa, Ariz; Care Management, Banner Health, Phoenix, Ariz; Health Management, Banner Health, Phoenix, Ariz. Electronic address: Hargobind.Khurana@bannerhealth.com.
    • Am. J. Med. 2016 Jul 1; 129 (7): 688698.e2688-698.e2.

    BackgroundReal-time automated continuous sampling of electronic medical record data may expeditiously identify patients at risk for death and enable prompt life-saving interventions. We hypothesized that a real-time electronic medical record-based alert could identify hospitalized patients at risk for mortality.MethodsAn automated alert was developed and implemented to continuously sample electronic medical record data and trigger when at least 2 of 4 systemic inflammatory response syndrome criteria plus at least one of 14 acute organ dysfunction parameters was detected. The systemic inflammatory response syndrome and organ dysfunction alert was applied in real time to 312,214 patients in 24 hospitals and analyzed in 2 phases: training and validation datasets.ResultsIn the training phase, 29,317 (18.8%) triggered the alert and 5.2% of such patients died, whereas only 0.2% without the alert died (unadjusted odds ratio 30.1; 95% confidence interval, 26.1-34.5; P < .0001). In the validation phase, the sensitivity, specificity, area under the curve, and positive and negative likelihood ratios for predicting mortality were 0.86, 0.82, 0.84, 4.9, and 0.16, respectively. Multivariate Cox-proportional hazard regression model revealed greater hospital mortality when the alert was triggered (adjusted hazards ratio 4.0; 95% confidence interval, 3.3-4.9; P < .0001). Triggering the alert was associated with additional hospitalization days (+3.0 days) and ventilator days (+1.6 days; P < .0001).ConclusionAn automated alert system that continuously samples electronic medical record data can be implemented, has excellent test characteristics, and can assist in the real-time identification of hospitalized patients at risk for death.Copyright © 2016 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

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