• Nabeel Qureshi, Matthew Bloom, and Joshua Pevnick.
• General Internal Medicine, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA 90048, USA.
• Mil Med. 2024 Jun 24.

IntroductionHemorrhage is assessed, at least in part, via hematocrit testing. To differentiate unexpected drops in hematocrit because of ongoing hemorrhage versus expected drops as a result of known hemorrhage and intravenous fluid administration, we model expected post-operative hematocrit values accounting for fluid balance and intraoperative estimated blood loss (EBL) among patients without substantial post-operative bleeding.Materials And MethodsWe reviewed patient-level data from the electronic health record of an academic medical center for all non-pregnant adults admitted for elective knee or hip arthroplasty from November 2013 to September 2022 who did not require blood products. We used linear regression to evaluate the association between post-operative hematocrit and predictor variables including pre-operative hematocrit, intraoperative net fluid intake, blood volume, time from surgery to lab testing, EBL, patient height, and patient weight.ResultsWe included 6,648 cases. Mean (SD) estimated blood volume was 4,804 mL (1023), mean net fluid intake was 1,121 mL (792), and mean EBL was 144 mL (194). Each 100 mL of EBL and 1,000 mL net positive fluid intake was associated with a decrease of 0.52 units (95% CI, 0.51-0.53) and 2.4 units (2.2-2.7) in post-operative hematocrit. Pre-operative hematocrit was the strongest predictor of post-operative hematocrit. Each 1-unit increase in pre-operative hematocrit was associated with a 0.70-unit increase (95% CI, 0.67-0.73) in post-operative hematocrit. Our estimates were robust to sensitivity analyses, and all variables included in the model were statistically significant with P <.005.ConclusionPatient-specific data, including fluid received since the time of initial hemorrhage, can aid in estimating expected post-hemorrhage hematocrit values, and thus in assessing for the ongoing hemorrhage.© The Association of Military Surgeons of the United States 2024. All rights reserved. For commercial re-use, please contact reprints@oup.com for reprints and translation rights for reprints. All other permissions can be obtained through our RightsLink service via the Permissions link on the article page on our site–for further information please contact journals.permissions@oup.com.

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