• Elisa Caron, Sai Divya Yadavalli, Mohit Manchella, Gabriel Jabbour, Jorge L Gomez-Mayorga, Roger B Davis, Virendra I Patel, David H Stone, Mark F Conrad, and Marc L Schermerhorn.
• Divisions of Vascular and Endovascular Surgery, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston MA.
• Ann. Surg. 2024 Sep 4.

BackgroundChronic kidney disease (CKD) increases morbidity and mortality in most vascular procedures. However, a binary classification of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 mL/min/1.73 m2, which is often used in both modeling and clinical trials, may not be optimal for predicting clinical outcomes.ObjectiveDetermine the optimal eGFR cutoff for use in risk stratification and prediction models.MethodsVascular Quality Initiative (VQI) data for non-emergent, first-time OAR, EVAR, TEVAR, CEA, CAS, PVI, Supra- and infra-inguinal bypass were analyzed from to 2013-2023 and divided into cohorts based on eGFR (≥60, 45-59, 30-44, <30, and preoperative dialysis). χ2 and logistic regression were used to evaluate perioperative outcomes.ResultsCompared to patients with eGFR ≥60, those with eGFR 45-59 had similar odds of mortality following all procedures, except TEVAR. Driven by this group, the combined cohort showed a slight increase in the odds of mortality for eGFR 45-59 (0.6% vs. 0.7%, aOR 1.16, P=0.002). Those in the 30-44 group demonstrated increased odds of mortality both overall and in the individual procedure groups (0.6% vs. 1.2%, aOR 1.78, P<0.001). The odds of mortality continued to increase with worsening eGFR. The overall rate of new permanent dialysis was low for all eGFR cohorts, with a 0.02% difference between those with eGFR >60 and those in the 45-59 cohort (0.04% vs. 0.06%; a OR 1.65, P<0.001). The odds of permanent dialysis likewise continued to increase with decreasing eGFR.ConclusionsRather than a binary eGFR cutoff of ≥60 and <60 to stratify patient risk, better risk stratification may be achieved by using five groups of ≥60, 45-59, 30-44, <30, and preoperative dialysis.Copyright © 2024 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved.

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