• Rev Invest Clin · Sep 2024

    Validation of the HAS-BLED scale for the assessment of bleeding risk in patients on anticoagulation therapy with a diagnosis of venous thromboembolic disease.

    • Stephanie Ortiz-Gómez, Paula Ruiz-Talero, and Oscar Muñoz.
    • Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Javeriana, Bogotá, Colombia, Bogotá, Colombia.
    • Rev Invest Clin. 2024 Sep 5; 76 (4): 199204199-204.

    BackgroundSeveral models have been developed to assess bleeding risk in patients with venous thromboembolism, such as HAS-BLED, but their external validity has not been adequately assessed.ObjectiveThe objective of the study was to evaluate the discriminative ability and calibration of the HAS-BLED scale for predicting 1-month bleeding risk in patient's anticoagulated for venous thromboembolism.Materials And MethodsExternal validation study of a prediction model based on a retrospective cohort of patients with venous thromboembolism treated between November 2019 and January 2022. Calibration of the HAS-BLED scale was evaluated using the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and the ratio of observed to expect events within each risk category. Discriminatory ability was assessed using the area under the curve (AUC) of a receiver operating characteristic curve.ResultsWe included 735 patients (median age 64 years, female sex 55.2%), pulmonary embolism was diagnosed in most patients (60.7%), and 4.9% presented bleeding events. Regarding calibration, the HAS-BLED scale systematically underestimates the risk both in the general population (ROE 3.76, p < 0.001) and in cancer patients (ROE 4.16). The Hosmer-Lemeshow test rejected the hypothesis of adequate calibration (p < 0.001). Discriminatory ability was limited both in the general population (AUC = 0.57, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.48-0.66) and in the subgroup with active cancer (AUC = 0.53, 95% CI: 0.36-0.69).ConclusionThe HAS-BLED scale in patients with venous thromboembolism underestimates the risk of bleeding at 1 month and has a low ability to discriminate high-risk patients. Cautious interpretation of the scale is recommended until additional evidence is available.

      Pubmed     Copy Citation     Plaintext  

      Add institutional full text...

    Notes

     
    Knowledge, pearl, summary or comment to share?
    300 characters remaining
    help        
    You can also include formatting, links, images and footnotes in your notes
    • Simple formatting can be added to notes, such as *italics*, _underline_ or **bold**.
    • Superscript can be denoted by <sup>text</sup> and subscript <sub>text</sub>.
    • Numbered or bulleted lists can be created using either numbered lines 1. 2. 3., hyphens - or asterisks *.
    • Links can be included with: [my link to pubmed](http://pubmed.com)
    • Images can be included with: ![alt text](https://bestmedicaljournal.com/study_graph.jpg "Image Title Text")
    • For footnotes use [^1](This is a footnote.) inline.
    • Or use an inline reference [^1] to refer to a longer footnote elseweher in the document [^1]: This is a long footnote..

    hide…