• Belinda J Lawford, Kim L Bennell, Dan Ewald, Peixuan Li, Anurika De Silva, Jesse Pardo, Barbara Capewell, Michelle Hall, Travis Haber, Thorlene Egerton, Stephanie Filbay, Fiona Dobson, and Rana S Hinman.
• Centre for Health, Exercise and Sports Medicine, Department of Physiotherapy, School of Health Sciences, The University of Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
• PLoS Med. 2025 Feb 4; 22 (2): e1004537e1004537.

BackgroundAlthough X-rays are not recommended for routine diagnosis of osteoarthritis (OA), clinicians and patients often use or expect X-rays. We evaluated whether: (i) a radiographic diagnosis and explanation of knee OA influences patient beliefs about management, compared to a clinical diagnosis and explanation that does not involve X-rays; and (ii) showing the patient their X-ray images when explaining radiographic report findings influences beliefs, compared to not showing X-ray images.Methods And FindingsThis was a 3-arm randomised controlled trial conducted between May 23, 2024 and May 28, 2024 as a single exposure (no follow-up) online survey. A total of 617 people aged ≥45 years, with and without chronic knee pain, were recruited from the Australian-wide community. Participants were presented with a hypothetical scenario where their knee was painful for 6 months and they had made an appointment with a general practitioner (primary care physician). Participants were randomly allocated to one of 3 groups where they watched a 2-min video of the general practitioner providing them with either: (i) clinical explanation of knee OA (no X-rays); (ii) radiographic explanation (not showing X-ray images); or (iii) radiographic explanation (showing X-ray images). Primary comparisons were: (i) clinical explanation (no X-rays) versus radiographic explanation (showing X-ray images); and (ii) radiographic explanation (not showing X-ray images) versus radiographic explanation (showing X-ray images). Primary outcomes were perceived (i) necessity of joint replacement surgery; and (ii) helpfulness of exercise and physical activity, both measured on 11-point numeric rating scales (NRS) ranging 0 to 10. Compared to clinical explanation (no X-rays), those who received radiographic explanation (showing X-ray images) believed surgery was more necessary (mean 3.3 [standard deviation: 2.7] versus 4.5 [2.7], respectively; mean difference 1.1 [Bonferroni-adjusted 95% confidence interval: 0.5, 1.8]), but there were no differences in beliefs about the helpfulness of exercise and physical activity (mean 7.9 [standard deviation: 1.9] versus 7.5 [2.2], respectively; mean difference -0.4 [Bonferroni-adjusted 95% confidence interval: -0.9, 0.1]). There were no differences in beliefs between radiographic explanation with and without showing X-ray images (for beliefs about necessity of surgery: mean 4.5 [standard deviation: 2.7] versus 3.9 [2.6], respectively; mean difference 0.5 [Bonferroni-adjusted 95% confidence interval: -0.1, 1.2]; for beliefs about helpfulness of exercise and physical activity: mean 7.5 [standard deviation: 2.2] versus 7.7 [2.0], respectively; mean difference -0.2 [Bonferroni-adjusted 95% confidence interval: -0.7, 0.3]). Limitations of our study included the fact that participants were responding to a hypothetical scenario, and so findings may not necessarily translate to real-world clinical situations, and that it is unclear whether effects would impact subsequent OA management behaviours.ConclusionsAn X-ray-based diagnosis and explanation of knee OA may have potentially undesirable effects on people's beliefs about management.Trial RegistrationACTRN12624000622505.Copyright: © 2025 Lawford et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.

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