• Critical care medicine · Feb 2025

    Prediction of Intensive Care Length of Stay for Surviving and Nonsurviving Patients Using Deep Learning.

    • Ludmila Brochini, Xinggang Liu, Louis Atallah, Pamela Amelung, Robin French, and Omar Badawi.
    • Philips, Clinical Integration & Insights, High tech Campus, Eindhoven, The Netherlands.
    • Crit. Care Med. 2025 Feb 7.

    ObjectivesLength of stay (LOS) models support evaluating ICU care; however, current benchmarking models fail to consider differences in LOS between surviving and nonsurviving patients, which can lead to biased predictions toward the surviving population. We aim to develop a model addressing this as well as documentation bias to improve ICU benchmarking.DesignThe Critical Care Outcomes Prediction Model (CCOPM) LOS uses patient characteristics, vitals, and laboratories during the first 24 hours of ICU admission to predict LOS in the hospital and ICU using a deep learning framework for modeling time to events with competing risk. Data was randomly divided into training, validation, and test (hold out) sets in a 2:1:1 ratio.SettingElectronic ICU Research Institute database from participating tele-critical care programs.PatientsSix hundred sixty-nine thousand eight hundred seventy-six ICU admissions pertaining to 628,815 patients from 329 ICUs in 194 U.S. hospitals, from 2017 to 2019.InterventionsNone.Measurements And Main ResultsModel performance was assessed using the coefficient of determination (R2), concordance index, mean absolute error, and calibration. For individual stays in the test set, the ICU LOS model presented R2 = 0.29 and 0.23 for surviving and nonsurviving populations, respectively, at the individual level and R2 = 0.48 and 0.23 at the ICU level. Conversely, hospital LOS model presented R2 = 0.46 and 0.52 at the individual level and R2 = 0.71 and 0.64 at the ICU level. In the subset of the test set containing predictions from Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) IVb, R2 of ICU LOS for surviving and nonsurviving populations was, respectively, 0.30 and 0.23 for the CCOPM and 0.16 and zero for APACHE IVb. For hospital LOS, the values were R2 = 0.39 and 0.40 for the CCOPM and 0.27 and zero for APACHE IVb.ConclusionsThis novel LOS model represents a step forward in achieving more equitable benchmarking across diverse ICU settings with varying risk profiles.Copyright © 2025 by the Society of Critical Care Medicine and Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

      Pubmed     Copy Citation     Plaintext  

      Add institutional full text...

    Notes

     
    Knowledge, pearl, summary or comment to share?
    300 characters remaining
    help        
    You can also include formatting, links, images and footnotes in your notes
    • Simple formatting can be added to notes, such as *italics*, _underline_ or **bold**.
    • Superscript can be denoted by <sup>text</sup> and subscript <sub>text</sub>.
    • Numbered or bulleted lists can be created using either numbered lines 1. 2. 3., hyphens - or asterisks *.
    • Links can be included with: [my link to pubmed](http://pubmed.com)
    • Images can be included with: ![alt text](https://bestmedicaljournal.com/study_graph.jpg "Image Title Text")
    • For footnotes use [^1](This is a footnote.) inline.
    • Or use an inline reference [^1] to refer to a longer footnote elseweher in the document [^1]: This is a long footnote..

    hide…