• Michael J Schull, Muhammad M Mamdani, and Jiming Fang.
• Sunnybrook and Women's College Health Sciences Center, 2075 Bayview Avenue, Toronto, Ontario, Canada. mjs@ices.on.ca
• Acad Emerg Med. 2005 Apr 1;12(4):338-44.

ObjectivesInfluenza outbreaks have been associated with worsened emergency department (ED) crowding. We sought to examine the mechanism behind this association.MethodsA retrospective time series analysis was conducted in Toronto from January 1996 to April 1999. Weekly data on laboratory-confirmed influenza and other respiratory virus cases in the community and visits to all city EDs (n = 20) were obtained. In longitudinal analyses, we determined the association between influenza and changes in ED utilization by younger and older patients with specific diagnoses grouped as major influenza related (MIR) and upper respiratory infection (URI). Time trends in psychiatric visits and their relationship to influenza were used as a control group.ResultsA mean of 11,075 ED visits occurred weekly (SD = 698; average age, 39.9 years; 51% women). Four influenza seasons occurred, with weekly incident case counts ranging from 0 to 236; there were a total of 81 weeks with zero new cases between seasons. In multivariable analyses, every ten new cases of influenza active in the community was associated with a 1.5% (95% confidence interval = 1.2 to 1.8) and 1.2% (95% confidence interval = 0.6 to 1.8) absolute increase in the proportion of ED patients who were elders with MIR conditions and URIs, respectively. Influenza was not significantly associated with ED utilization by younger patients; other respiratory viruses were not significantly associated with ED utilization for any patient group.ConclusionsInfluenza season is associated with increased ED utilization by patients aged 65 years and older, most of whom have major respiratory illnesses and may require hospital admission. No association was seen between influenza and utilization by younger patients. Efforts to reduce the impact of influenza seasons on EDs should focus on elders.

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