• John A Morris, Patrick R Norris, Asli Ozdas, Lemuel R Waitman, Frank E Harrell, Anna E Williams, Hanqing Cao, and Judith M Jenkins.
• Department of Surgical Sciences, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee 37212, USA. john.morris@vanderbilt.edu
• J Trauma. 2006 Jun 1;60(6):1165-73; discussion 1173-4.

BackgroundMeasurements of a patient's physiologic reserve (age, injury severity, admission lactic acidosis, transfusion requirements, and coagulopathy) reflect robustness of response to surgical insult. We have previously shown that cardiac uncoupling (reduced heart rate variability, HRV) in the first 24 hours after injury correlates with mortality and autonomic nervous system failure. We hypothesized: Deteriorating physiologic reserve correlates with reduced HRV and cardiac uncoupling.MethodsThere were 1,425 trauma ICU patients that satisfied the inclusion criteria. Differences in mortality across categorical measurements of the domains of physiologic reserve were assessed using the chi test. The relationship of cardiac uncoupling and physiologic reserve was examined using multivariate logistic regression models for various levels of cardiac uncoupling (>0 through 28% reduced HRV in the first 24 hours).ResultsOf these, 797 (55.9%) patients exhibited cardiac uncoupling. Deteriorating measures of physiologic reserve reflected increased risk of death. Measures of acidosis (admission lactate, time to lactate normalization, and lactate deterioration over the first 24 hours), coagulopathy, age, and injury severity contributed significantly to the risk of cardiac uncoupling (area under receiver operator curve, ROC=0.73). The association between deteriorating reserve and cardiac uncoupling increases with the threshold for uncoupling (ROC=0.78).ConclusionsReduced heart rate variability is a new biomarker reflecting the loss of command and control of the heart (cardiac uncoupling). Risk of cardiac uncoupling increases significantly as a patient's physiologic reserve deteriorates and physiologic exhaustion approaches. Cardiac uncoupling provides a noninvasive, overall measure of a patient's clinical trajectory over the first 24 hours of ICU stay.

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