• Social science & medicine · Apr 2012

    Are recessions really good for your health? Evidence from Canada.

    • Hideki Ariizumi and Tammy Schirle.
    • Department of Economics, Wilfrid Laurier University, 75 University Avenue W., Waterloo, ON, Canada N2L 3C5.
    • Soc Sci Med. 2012 Apr 1;74(8):1224-31.

    AbstractThis study investigates the relationship between business cycle fluctuations and health in the Canadian context, given that a procyclical relationship between mortality rates and unemployment rates has already been well established in the U.S. literature. Using a fixed effects model and provincial data over the period 1977-2009, we estimate the effect of unemployment rates on Canadian age and gender specific mortality rates. Consistent with U.S. results, there is some evidence of a strong procyclical pattern in the mortality rates of middle-aged Canadians. We find that a one percentage point increase in the unemployment rate lowers the predicted mortality rate of individuals in their 30s by nearly 2 percent. In contrast to the U.S. data, we do not find a significant cyclical pattern in the mortality rates of infants and seniors.Copyright © 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

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