• J Clin Epidemiol · Jan 2015

    Review

    A systematic review finds variable use of the intention-to-treat principle in musculoskeletal randomized controlled trials with missing data.

    • Royes Joseph, Julius Sim, Reuben Ogollah, and Martyn Lewis.
    • Arthritis Research UK Primary Care Centre, Research Institute of Primary Care and Health Sciences, Keele University, Keele, Staffordshire, ST5 5BG, UK.
    • J Clin Epidemiol. 2015 Jan 1;68(1):15-24.

    ObjectivesIn randomized trials, the primary analysis should be consistent with the intention-to-treat (ITT) principle and should address missing data appropriately to draw valid inferences. This review focuses on current practices relating to the ITT principle and methods to handle missing data in the major musculoskeletal journals.Study Design And SettingA systematic review of randomized trials published in 2010 and 2011 in five musculoskeletal journals was performed.ResultsWe reviewed 91 trials: 38% performed a full ITT analysis (analyzing outcome data for all randomized participants) and 31% performed a partial ITT analysis (excluding participants with no follow-up data). The overall median dropout was 12%; 60% of trials had more than 10% dropouts, and 32% of trials had more than 20% dropouts. Among those that performed an ITT analysis, the majority adopted a form of single imputation; last observation carried forward was the designated approach in most cases. Mixed models for repeated measures and/or multiple imputations were limited to eight trials.ConclusionIt appears that many trials reporting missing data are inappropriately analyzed and may therefore be prone to biased estimates and invalid inferences.Copyright © 2015 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

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